|
|
| About Paul Kedrosky |
| Dr. Kedrosky is currently the Executive Director of the William J. von Liebig Center in San Diego, California. Using an innovative seed capital program, the Center catalyzes the commercialization of technologies from the internationally-ranked University of California, San Diego. Dr. Kedrosky is also a venture investor with Ventures West, Canada's largest institutional venture capital firm, where he is most active in consumer technologies and software. He is currently on the board of Marqui Corporation, a marketing automation software company. |
Recent Article:
Poker, Unpredictability, and Going on Tilt
- For more on Paul Kedrosky visit paul.kedrosky.com
I had an interesting experience tonight playing Texas Hold'em Poker. Despite having virtually no poker experience, I ended up winning a decent-sized pot. The morals of the story:
* Unpredictability is a highly useful competitive strategy. By repeatedly going "all in" and giving the appearance of not having any idea what I was doing -- which was admittedly at least 75% true -- people were unsure how to respond. If you win a few times following this strategy it is demoralizing to opponents, as pointed out in an insightful 2003 paper about unpredictable poker-playing computer bots:
The bot routinely makes unconventional plays that confuse and confound humans. Invariably, some of these "bizarre" plays happen to coincide with a lucky escape, and several of these bad beats in quick succession will often cause strong emotional reactions (sometimes referred to as "going on tilt"). The level of play generally goes down sharply in these circumstances.
* When you have a lot of chips, being relentlessly bullying despite having weak cards is rational. In the limit, when there is only one other player left, you only have to win a single time to end the game, so playing repeated all-in hands (even without even looking at your cards) is optimal. Given that your competitor will almost certainly be somewhat risk averse, you will a) win repeated antes, and b) win more pots than is your due. Call it competing based on balance sheets.
* It helps to be lucky. I knocked out the last two competitors (on different hands) on the last card turned. That was absurdly lucky, but it was also more probable than might have been expected given the number of hands that get quickly played toward the end of a game.
* Even if following a rationally irrational strategy, it still helps to have good cards.
Poker Unpredictability and Going on Tilt - To learn more about this author, visit Paul Kedrosky's Website.
Like this article? Share it with your friends
 | |
 |
No article feedback found. |
| |
Leave Your Feedback |
 | |
| |||
|
To learn more about the Evan Elite Author Program please contact us. |
|
|
 | ||
 |
||
 |
||
 |
||
 | ||
 |
| Have you written articles that would be of value to entrepreneurs? Become an expert on our site by publishing them! Expose yourself to a wide audience, drive more traffic to your website and get more sales! Click Here for details. |
 |
 |
| Modeling the Masters: Learn the true secrets behind Walt Disney's business success factors & grow your company! Video produced by Phanta Media |
|
|
 |
"Learn straight from Evan how you can Make a Full Time Income (And More) from a Website"
Click Here To Learn More |
|
|
|
|
Get advice & tips from famous business owners, new articles by entrepreneur experts, my latest website updates, & special sneak peaks at what's to come!
|
|
 |
 Professional Networking Content Challenged Integrity Guide Networking Road Warrior EQ Coaching Report |
|
 | ||
 |
The Top 10 ProBlogger Posts
Best Posts for Bloggers | |
 |
Choose A PR Topic
Press Release Builder | |
| ||
 | ||||
| ||||
|
| ||||
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
|
Email us your ideas on how to make our website more valuable! Thank you Sharon from Toronto Salsa Lessons / Classes for your suggestions to make the newsletter look like the website and profile younger entrepreneurs like Jennifer Lopez and Sean Combs!
|
|
|
| ||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||
|
|
||||||||||