The Coming U.S. Crackup

Guest post by: Paul Kedrosky
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Clive Crook on something that has been on many people's minds lately, the sense of a coming U.S. crackup: For many years, relative stability was a marked feature of US politics - as compared, say, with Britain. And this surely worked to America's advantage. Perhaps US politics is starting to look more like postwar British politics. If so, it is safe to say that the country will not like the results.

But one wonders whether even more may be at stake than the capacity to form sound and steady policy. So inflamed are the US political classes that a deeper breakdown begins to be imaginable.

Historically, the US has both accommodated and benefited from a remarkable degree of cultural pluralism - with sufficient civic tolerance, mutual (if sometimes grudging) respect and unashamed patriotism to bind the whole together. Now, more than ever, the instinct of politicians and their energised supporters is to divide. Mr Obama seemed to promise a corrective, but that hope is fading. Old and new media, obsessed with gladiatorial politics, offer no remedy. They either take sides or act as fight promoters; in any event they worsen the polarisation and leave the centre unserved. The internet's echo chambers stir brainless anger and push the poles still further apart.

In the coming years, the US has enormous challenges to face - not least, like Britain before it, the trauma of relative economic decline. Right now, its polity looks unfit to cope. "A house divided against itself", said Abraham Lincoln, "cannot stand."

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About the Author: Paul Kedrosky

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Dr. Kedrosky is currently the Executive Director of the William J. von Liebig Center in San Diego, California. Using an innovative seed capital program, the Center catalyzes the commercialization of technologies from the internationally-ranked University of California, San Diego. Dr. Kedrosky is also a venture investor with Ventures West, Canada's largest institutional venture capital firm, where he is most active in consumer technologies and software. He is currently on the board of Marqui Corporation, a marketing automation software company.
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