Lesson #4: Low Risk Means Low Rewards
Article Overview: When it came to taking the road less traveled, Warner was all about accepting risk. And not just a little bit of risk; Warner knew that the more risk he was willing to take, the greater the reward in the end would be.
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Lesson #4: Low Risk Means Low Rewards
When it came to taking the road less traveled, Warner was all about accepting risk. And not just a little bit of risk; Warner knew that the more risk he was willing to take, the greater the reward would be in the end.
It is not every entrepreneur that would see the correlation between a Rolls Royce and stuffed animals, but Warner thought the two could not be more perfect for each other. In his early days selling toys for the San Francisco-based toy company Dakin, Warner began to experiment with different marketing ploys.
No matter how eccentric he may have appeared, Warner believed there was value in dressing up in a fur coat and top hat, while carrying a cane, and driving around in a white Rolls Royce convertible as he arrived for appointments with retailers. He wanted to make them curious about what he was selling. And, he wanted to make them curious about the man behind the products.
In one of his rare public interviews, Warner said, "I figured if I was eccentric-looking, people would think, ‘What is he selling? Let's look in his case.'" Warner did not care how other people might have perceived him in his eccentric clothing or fancy car. "It was all to get in to see the buyer," he explained.
That willingness to take risks is something Warner carries with him from childhood. It is not everyone who would be willing to drop out of college to follow their dream. Even if it meant pumping gas and selling cameras door to door on the streets of Hollywood, Warner was determined to try his hand at acting. It took even more courage still to admit that he was not destined for the big screen and return to Chicago to begin working with Dakin. And, when he realized that he was no longer happy with Dakin, Warner took yet another risk in quitting and moving to Italy with no idea of what he was going to do in the future.
As Chairman and CEO of his own company, Warner continued his passion for taking the road less traveled and braving the risks. First, he plunged his entire life savings into a $5 to $20 product. He took up two mortgages on his house and used his father's inheritance to jump start his vision.
Second, Warner shunned traditional advertising campaigns and the large, national toy store chains for distribution, saying, "It's better selling 40,000 accounts than it is 5 accounts. It's more difficult to do, but for the longevity of the company and the profit margins, it's the better of the two."
Warner did little that was by the book. From plunging his life savings into a new venture that would not retail for very high, to dressing in eccentric outfits, to opting for non-traditional routes of distribution and marketing, Warner took the risks he needed to succeed. In the end, Warner learned that taking greater risks meant realizing greater rewards.
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How to valuate a business
- Hi Garth - here is how we did it at Northern Crown Capital when I was helping them raise venture capital for Toronto-based entrepreneurs. Assume the start date is 2003 so 2008 projections are 5 years out:
How Northern Crown Capital Valuates a Business
2008 Financial Projections
Earnings Before Tax
$5,865,000
Tax Rate
42%
Taxes
$2,463,300
Net Earnings
$3,401,700
Amount Seeking to Raise Today
$3,500,000
Discounted Value of Future Opportunity, 5 Years Out
2008 P/E Ratio
15
Value of Company in 2008
$51,025,500
Discount Rate Applied
30%
Year 2008
$51,025,500
Year 2007
$35,717,850
Year 2006
$25,002,495
Year 2005
$17,501,747
Year 2004
$12,251,223
Value of Company at Investment in 2003
$12,251,223
Less: Investment Amount
$3,500,000
Present Value
$8,751,223
Discount for Risk & Private Company
40%
Less: Discount for Risk & Private Company
$3,500,489
Private Company Value
$5,250,734
Present Value (What the Owner Keeps)
$5,250,734
60.00%
Financing (What the Investor Gets)
$3,500,000
40.00%
Total
$8,750,734
100.00%
I hope this helps!
Show the Benefits
- Offer a free test drive of the Product or Service with a Money Back Guarantee - Take the Risk out.
This will help them make the decision but you have to work with them to realize it by explicitly state the benefits they are receiving.
Dan Kennedy Marketing Methods
- We haven't sent out the physical letter yet as the person owning the list wanted to make modifications to the letter that we knew would work well but the List owner had a point - it didn't reflect her personality so her clients would know it didn't come from her.
Lesson learned for me. We're back to the drawing board with the list owner more involved in the development of the letter and emails.
I should have known better being a Business Analyst in my day job that you never leave the end-user out.
So Evan we haven't had the opportunity to test any of it yet but it's been a fun process for me to stand back and look at.
Unsecure Neighbourhood
- Instead of knocking on their door why don't you leave a letter in their Mailbox in a hand written envelope. You can advise them via the letter that their internet connection is unsecured and write how an unsecured internet connection can affect them.
Note: this is time consuming but I'm assuming that your willing to spend the time to drive neighbourhoods to find your target market.
People on this forum may be able to assist you in determining how to make more use of your time.
Maybe you can post flyers in the neighbourhood stating
"This Neighbourhood is Unsecure!"
"Your Internet connections may be at Risk"
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I'm sure you'd be able to come up with something more creative and I hope you use this as a launch pad for new ideas.
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Re: Does birth order influence the desire to start a business?
- Are you the oldest sibling in your family, the youngest or somewhere in the middle? Your birth order can influence your work and management style and perhaps even the career you choose.
While far from an exact science, analyzing psychological values associated with birth order can give valuable clues to how you're handling your work and management duties -- and may even help you get ahead in your career.
Firstborn children tend to be responsible, intellectual and interested in practical, down-to-earth professions. Parents usually have great expectations for their first child and can spend a lot of one-on-one time fostering these expectations. Studies show that parents tend to be more lenient with later-born children, supporting desires for careers in the arts, literature or music. Firstborns, however, tend to pursue careers in business, law, medicine or finance.
Management traits of the first child: First children are often practical, confident, able to delegate and make rapid decisions and possess the desire to win or excel. Often, firstborns simply want to be the best they can be. This can translate into exceptional management skills and a rapid career path. Also, firstborns often work well with older individuals in the firm, including supervisors and executives.
Management challenges for the firstborn: Firstborns may be intolerant of those who do not work at 100 percent capacity. They may not be the best team players, since they always had the upper hand on younger siblings. They can be disappointed if passed over in promotions for younger workers and may be overly cautious and avoid risks, hindering career advancement.
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