MIND TRAP: Heuristic Thinking
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Free PDF Download MIND TRAP: Ignoring the Evidence - By Steve Major |
There are five mind traps that I feel we fall into in making decisions: 1. Following Fads and Fashion
2. When we don't question assumptions
3. Perspective
4. Heuristic Thinking
5. Ignoring the Evidence.
It does not matter whether it's the decision to launch a new product, to change an existing product or service, or whether it's some other decision that we are faced with in our business - maybe it is a decision personal or career decision. There are traps that we can fall into that can kill smart decisions.
The mind trap of smart decisions I wish to focus on in today's article is when we take shortcuts in making decisions.
We have various biases and maybe rule of thumbs that we don't realise are present in our thinking. Once we have made that decision we then justify it afterwards but we don't challenge that initial decision.
One of the biases is the confirmation bias. This is where we only look for the information to confirm the truth of the decision we have made. We think we are making a sound decision, all we end up doing is following. It is called heuristic thinking. A heuristic is a brain shortcut that we adopt to make decision-making easy, but unfortunately it can lead to being a mind trap.
There are other biases in addition to the confirmation bias that we can fall guilty to. Another is what we have come to call "groupthink" where a group of people together end up making a decision that individually they may not have made. Nobody at the time though challenges the decision. The group collectively fall into a decision making mind trap.
To prevent these biases or heuristics the first point is to be aware that we all suffer from then. The next point is that we be willing to challenge any decision or ask for more information. The confirmation in particular I believe leads to many flawed decisions.
So to use that clothing example from the first article, "Following Fads and Fashions" again, the only way you are able to explain that the clothing item is in your cupboard is to say that your brain took a vacation. It is when you don't know what on earth you were thinking when you purchased that item. In business we don't think of it like that, yet there are decisions that we are making that are equally flawed.
Watch out for the mind trap of heuristic thinking. It's a killer to smart decisions.
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Referred by: http://www.dglong.com
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Free PDF Download MIND TRAP: Ignoring the Evidence - By Steve Major |
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About the Author: Steve Major RSS for Steve's articles - Visit Steve's website A powerful, incisive and challenging speaker and insightful thought leader, Steve shows businesses how they can "get" the numbers behind their business, make savvy and smart decisions, escape from the information avalanche, and find, and intensely focus on the one number that really matters (and it is not the profit line). Click here to visit Steve's website. Setting Savvy KPIs That Work Lead versus Lag Future versus Past MIND TRAP Ignoring the Evidence MIND TRAP Following Fads and Fashion The One Main Thing |
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