Gold Will Shine Once Again in 2009! (Part 2)
Get ready for the “economic pipes” to be unclogged and for a tidal wave of inflation to head our way!
I assure you, that Obama’s economic advisors will be the “drain-o” that gets the pipes unclogged. When this happens, the Fed knows that it will have to “mop up” this excessive liquidity in the financial system.
However, here’s what I predict will happen. The Fed, while it wants to be a forecaster of the economy really just ends up becoming a “responder” after the fact to what’s going on in the economy. Therefore, between the time that the Fed starts to see the inflationary signs in the economy and starts the process of draining the excess liquidity from the economy, it will be too late. The hyper inflationary effects will already be in play. They will be “late to the ball game” yet again.
When all of this starts to happen (and possibly a bit before hand), savvy gold investors will sense it coming and will buy up gold ahead of time…positioning themselves like a surfer that gets out ahead of the coming wave that will propel him forward.
The Fed will do its best at that point to drain the money supply and hike rates, but there are delays from when they start to act and when it actually starts to affect the economy. This “lag time” will cause a huge return of inflation in a big way that will propel gold ever higher and will eventually dilute the dollar as well.
You see, when there’s more of something in existence, it begins to hold less value. So as the money supply is quickly increasing, the dollar will eventually feel the effects of it. Remember, there’s that delayed “lagging” period which is why it hasn’t already been felt even now.
However, as sure as the sun is coming up tomorrow…it’s coming. So get prepared ahead of time. For, the key to successful investing is to buy just ahead of the massive move. This requires an investor to “think ahead”. You can’t just see what’s happening at present and prosper like you should in your investing. It requires one to be “foreword looking” and thus “foreword thinking”.
When all of this unfolds, investors will buy gold (which is essentially exchanging their dollars for gold) as they seek safety, liquidity and an “insurance policy” against runaway inflation.
Gold production will continue to shrink and Central Banks will hold onto their gold in 2009!
So with the economy deeply damaged, unemployment claims hitting almost 600k as of this writing, there’s not going to be a huge incentive for investors to sell gold. That’s why gold has only come off of its top by 17.9% and stocks have been 40+% off of their highs on average. You can see its underlying strength just in that fact alone.
Also, remember that gold supplies will continue to tighten in 2009 just as they did in 2008. Why? Africa’s production of gold sank 14% which was the lowest levels since 1899. That’s serious! But it’s not just a South Africa story. U.S. gold production fell 2% last year. While China (which has now become the world’s biggest producer of gold) had their production rise 3% last year, the “net” result collectively among all countries is a net slowdown in gold production.
Central bank selling in gold was down a full 42% last year. And you’d be an idiot of a central banker to sell a bunch of gold in 2009 with the U.S. and global economy still hobbling along. Therefore, you can count on these guys not adding to the selling.
Therefore, get ready to buy gold, sell dollars and buy foreign currencies like the euro and especially the Aussie dollar which is greatly helped by rising gold and other commodity prices.
Most of the increase in gold and selling of dollars may come more in the 2nd half of the year than the 1st half due to the delayed effect of Fed policy and as the Obama administration starts to get its feet wet in tackling the economic woes.
But be aware and watch for the change just in case it happens even a bit sooner than I think.
Gold Will Shine Once Again in 2009 Part 2 - To learn more about this author, visit Sean Hyman's Website.
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Dianne CramptonDianne Crampton is an executive leadership coach, team culture consultant, author and president of TIGERS Success Series, Inc. Dianne has been helping CEO's and Executives connect their employees to their core values and goals for over 20 years using the trademarked TIGERS team culture process, which stands for trust, interdependence, genuineness, empathy, risk and success. To download a free white paper on behaviors that build strong teams and behaviors that will predictably tear them down go here. Dianne's contribution to the 2010 Pfeiffer Consulting Journal (an imprint of John Wiley and Sons Publishers) entitled TIGERS Hearted Teams is available in November 2009. Her new book TIGERS Among Us: 5 Winning Business Team Cultures And Why, Three Creeks Publishing will release in March 2010. To receive publishing discounts, subscribe to the free TigerTracks Newsletter here. - Visit Dianne Crampton's Website |
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