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Why Was the Sales Forecast So Unreliable?



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Personality Tests, Sales Candidate Selection - How Tests Measure Up - By Dave Kurlan

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Yesterday, schools were canceled, non-essential state workers were told to stay home, and businesses were asked to release their employees early. We told our employees that they could leave at Noon. It was quite a powerful storm and we were going to get in the neighborhood of 8-12 inches, all during business hours. Based on history, that is when drivers are most likely to become stranded on the roads. As late as 6 AM, they stuck with their 8-12 inch forecast, with snow scheduled to begin within 2 hours and intensify as the day wore on, snowing as heavily as 2 inches per hour during mid-day.

It never happened. We got an inch - over a 12 hour period - and the state shut down for nothing. And it's not like we can't handle a snow storm here in New England. We can handle anything! They just blew it. How was this forecast similar to the sales forecast?

Does this ever happen to you? Your sales force? Your company?

Do the sales opportunities that were sure things ever fizzle out or become so delayed that you wonder what could have possibly gone wrong?

Is it because salespeople get too excited about the opportunity and take shortcuts?

Is it because they haven't properly staged the opportunity in the pipeline?

Is it because they're failing to make sure that the opportunity meets the criteria of a particular stage?

Is it because they failed to uncover any compelling reasons for the prospect to buy from them?

Is it because they couldn't push back and can't tell when a prospect is leading them on?

Is it because they developed a good relationship and simply assumed that something good would happen?

Is it because the prospect loved your product or service but had no urgency to buy it? Is it because your salespeople suck at closing and accept every stall and put-off that comes their way?

Is it something else?

When you identify the reasons, the next step is to identify the hidden cause for those reasons. Failure to identify both the reasons and the causes are why most managers have difficulty getting things to change. And if you can't change the behaviors, you can't change the results.


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Home > Sales > Dave Kurlan > Why Was the Sales Forecast So Unreliable >

Free PDF Download
Personality Tests, Sales Candidate Selection - How Tests Measure Up - By Dave Kurlan

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About the Author: Dave Kurlan

RSS for Dave's articles - Visit Dave's website
Dave Kurlan is a best-selling author, top-rated speaker and thought leader on sales development.  He is the founder and CEO of Objective Management Group, Inc., the industry leader in sales assessments and sales force evaluations, and the CEO of David Kurlan & Associates, Inc., a consulting firm specializing in sales force development. Dave has been a top rated speaker at Inc. Magazine's Conference on Growing the Company, the Sales & Marketing Management Conference and the Gazelles Sales & Marketing Summit. He has been featured on radio and TV, including World Business Review with General Norman Schwarzkopf, in Inc. Magazine, Selling Power Magazine, Sales & Marketing Management Magazine and Incentive Magazine. He is the author of Mindless Selling and Baseline Selling – How to Become a Sales Superstar by Using What You Already Know about the Game of Baseball. He created and wrote STAR, a proprietary recruiting process for hiring great salespeople, and he writes Understanding the Sales Force, a popular business Blog and is a contributing author to The Death of 20th Century Selling (Dan Seidman), Stepping Stones (Deepak Chopra and Brian Tracey) and 101 Great Ways to Improve Your Life, Volume 2 (David Riklan).
Click here to visit Dave's website.
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