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Calculating Customer Lifetime Value

Written by: John Brennan

Article Overview: Do you know what an average customer is truly worth to your company? By calculating your Customer Lifetime Value (CLV), you'll be able to answer that question. CLV is the amount of profit a customer delivers to your company for as long as the customer is buying from you. It's typically calculated as the net present value (the value in today's dollars) of the profit you'll earn from all of a customer's purchases over time.

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Calculating Customer Lifetime Value

When you know your CLV, you have an extremely powerful tool that helps with:
• Acquisition: You'll have a better understanding of what you can spend to acquire customers.
• Targeting: You'll know which customer segment delivers the most profit to your company and you can focus more marketing efforts toward that segment.
• Return on investment: By using CLV in your ROI calculations for marketing campaigns, you'll have a much more accurate measure of campaign performance.
• Customer retention: You can determine how much you can spend to profitably retain customers.
• Single-customer profitability: You can calculate the profitability of an individual customer.

CLV becomes more important as your marketing budget rises and your customer base grows. Yet even an early-stage company can benefit with a simple CLV estimate.
Before you begin you'll want to look at CLV for different groups of customers, so make sure you've defined those segments. CLV is a valuable tool to improve your marketing campaigns and budget; it's also used when you're working on customer retention and ROI.
There are several figures you'll need for your CLV calculations:
• Cost of goods sold (COGS): the cost to physically produce a product or service
• Gross profit: the difference between the price of your product and the COGS

The CLV calculation is most valuable when you measure it by customer segment - similar groups of customers who use your products/services in a similar way. For each segment, determine how long an average customer stays with you -- the "lifetime". Look at your customers' buying patterns and calculate the total number of purchases they make and the time between those purchases.


To calculate the CLV for each customer segment, estimate how many purchases you think an average customer will make before the relationship ends (the customer no longer buys from you). Then estimate the average length of time between purchases (in days), the average revenue per purchase and the gross profit margin for the revenue generated by these customers (as a % of revenue).


The Net Present Value (NPV) is the value of a future stream of cash flows in today's dollars. In general, it's better to have a given amount of money today than tomorrow. If you have it today, you can invest it and earn a return. If you don't have it until tomorrow, you miss the chance to invest, and inflation may also eat away at its value.

EXAMPLE: If you were offered $5000 a year from today, how much would you take if you could have it today instead? Would you take $4500 if you could have it today instead? $4,800? $4,000? The amount you're willing to take today is the Net Present Value (NPV) of the $5,000.

It's important to calculate NPV to prevent overspending on marketing and/or operations. If you think a customer will spend $10,000 a year with you for three years, that customer isn't worth $30,000 because that $10,000 in years two and three is actually worth less than $10,000 today. Calculating NPV will give you a more accurate value for the customer.

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About the Author: John Brennan
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John Brennan Ed.D. Dr. Brennan is President of Interpersonal Development, LLC, a training and development firm. Interpersonal Development has provided sales training and coaching to more than 3,000 sales reps from over 100 companies. A native of Australia, Dr. Brennan received his doctorate from the University of Rochester. His dissertation researched the effectiveness of Behavioral Modeling Technology in training people in interpersonal skills. While he has spent most of his career designing or delivering training, he was also a Vice-President of Sales of a training and development franchise with operations in 25 markets. Dr. Brennan has designed and delivered sales training in North America, Asia, Europe, Australia and the Middle East. He has been a guest speaker at numerous national and regional professional conferences. When Microsoft wanted Best Practices articles on sales for their web site, they called Dr. Brennan. The results are at http://office.microsoft.com/en-us/FX011387391033.aspx His firm’s clients have included Volvo, The Prudential, Merrill Lynch, Eastman Kodak, Gannett, Equifax Europe, the Economist Group and countless small businesses.

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